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The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. Bet with your head, not over it. So, golfers won't get stuck as often as they used to with errant tee shots. Count me among those who believe he has as good a chance as anyone to win this weeks PGA Championship at Southern Hills. Why not now? Henley ranks fifth in the field in approach and 20th around the green. Here is a look at five sleepers you should consider farther down the PGA Championship odds board as offered by Caesars Sportsbook. To put that into perspective, thats better than Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa have ever recorded in an individual tournament. Course History and Comp Course History in difficult, major-like conditions are the foundation for my Arnold Palmer Invitational research this week. ET. Like I said, its my little escape from all this., Sounds lovely. And this is no knock against him. Champ: Were in Houston, Texas. Mandatory Credit: Raymond Carlin III-USA TODAY Sports. Mandatory Credit: Alex Gould - The Republic Up to $1,250 on Caesars. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. Rahm, a 10-time PGA Tour champion, is listed as the 7-1 favorite in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds. He finished in a tie for third the following year but has not factored in a major since. But yeah, right now, its been good; Ive had no issues. If any of them are in the running come Sunday, I will live bet and hedge for a little pizza money to make sure I come out on top. Phil Mickelsonis not in the field for the first time since 1992. The 2019 U.S. Open champion is finally healthy after battling injuries the last two years, and his play is indicative of such. Hatton ranks ninth in "Strokes Gained: Approach-the-Green" and 20th in "Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee." There's no place like home, and K.H. The 2022 edition of the PGA Championship will be played at Southern Hills in Oklahoma. https://golfweek.usatoday.com/lists/2022-pga-championship-odds-sleeper-picks-jason-day-max-homa-southern-hills/, Mexico, Caribbean, Atlantic islands, Central America, Top 50 Classic Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Top 50 Modern Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Best golf balls for 2023 for every budget and playing style, Best irons for 2023 for every handicap and playing style, Friday at Bay Hill: Jordan Spieth's putter wakes up, Jon Rahm takes a step back among notes from Day 2 at Arnold Palmer Invitational, LIV Golf reports 3.2 million viewers for opening event in Mexico, a stark difference from early reports, Photos: PopStroke by Tiger Woods opens its first location in Arizona, Putters used by PGA Tour players ranked in the top 10 in strokes gained putting, Photos: 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational merchandise tent is fit for a king, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. The Horse 5. The course is a rather long one at 7,556 yardsand plays to a par of 70. He shines at major championships. Sleeper pick: Robert MacIntyre, +15,000. Click here to make your PGA picks Because of that showing by Rory and his recent win at the Wells Fargo Championship, he comes into this event as the betting favorite at +1100. Nick Piastowski is a Senior Editor at Golf.com and Golf Magazine. Fleetwood has quietly put together a nice 2022. Jordan Spieth 9.. It's his fifth payday in as many starts in 2023 but first start in three . ?Thanks for being a @RotoBaller PGA DFS Premium subscriber & checking out all the amazing golf content that @JoeNicely produces every week! 17. Looking at the course, the putting grass thats going to be used is called paspalum, which is popular on European tracks. But every so often you see a Cameron Champ, a name that makes you almost wonder: What does everyone else know that I dont? The 104th PGA Championship will take place from May 19-22 at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Oklahoma. Enter the Tours longest hitter (323.5 yds/drive). Standing just under 7,500 yards, Bay Hill presents similar challenges we come to expect in a major championship venue. FOLLOW US ON Tim Nwachukwu/Getty Images. I dont buy into many course comparisons this week. Its the chalkiest pick on the board, but Im taking it anyway. Leish has fallen off a bit since his early-season form, and hes missed the past three PGA cuts. Ohio Sports Betting Promos: Michigan State Spartans OSU Buckeyes Odds. For a deeper dive into the course, read myArnold Palmer Invitational preview. Arnold Palmer Invitational Field. Defending champion Phil Mickelson isnt playing this week. Lines last updated at 8:50 a.m. Im not sure hes ready to get the job done on a major stage, but Robert MacIntyre is one of golfs up-and-comers who has been playing well of late. To-win: Jon Rahm, +1,200. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. While he has struggled on the PGA Tour, he displayed good form finishing in 14th-place at The Masters in April. Some recency bias could be coming into play. Welcome back, RotoBallers, to my PGA DFS Pivots for DraftKings! Having missed only one cut over the last calendar year, Pendrith will be on my outright card and a core DFS play for me this week. Lets go with the legend himself for a DEEP sleeper. Hes finished in the top 20 in four out of his past five starts and is fifthin "Strokes Gained: Total" over his past 24 rounds. For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, this time in Orlando for the 2023Arnold Palmer Invitationalat Bay Hill. He made the most birdies (22) of any player at Augusta National, and as late at the 11th hole on Masters Sunday, the Aussie was in position to give Scheffler a run for the green jacket. He is in top form and his game has reached an elite level in 2022, making him the player to beat at this year's PGA Championship. Tiger Woods is making his second-straight major start after his triumphant return last month at Augusta National. He won the PGA Championship in 2017 and tied for sixth in the event in 2018. 2022 PGA Championship Bettors' Roundtable: Favorites, Sleepers and Best Bets for Southern Hills Who looks ready to raise the Wanamaker? The 2022 PGA Championship from Southern Hills CC begins on Thursday (May 19th) Hideki Matsuyama is an absolute steal in the outright market at 35-1. But those that can get close to the pin should be in the best position to win. Below is a breakdown of several candidates to consider in this year's PGA Championship field. He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. Cantlay 6McIlroy 5MorikawaThomasHoma 4SchefflerDJRahmC. Start the Golf Season off right with InsideGOLF ($100 value - just $20). Because as Southern Hillssuperintendent Russ Myers says, getting close to the pin is the hardest part of the course. Here are a few tips. Some of the games biggest names, including Scottie Scheffler, Jordan Spieth, and Jon Rahm, have added wins to their resumes over the last few months and are ready for battle. He won at Mayakoba and recorded two straight top-five place finishes in the early spring. Just shot 64 at Southern Hills his favorite course. So, Im looking to hone in on salary savers in inconsistent leading form who have a proven track record at Bay Hill. There has been a lot of talk about how Southern Hills is Schefflers favorite course, and rave reviews came from his recent practice round there. Read below for our favorite sleepers and longshots in the outright, T10 and T20 markets. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event. We would appreciate your support by either turning off your adblocker or signing up for our ad-free subscription tier.Thanks for being a reader! Yeah, that came at Augusta National. That will make strokes gained off the tee (SG:OTT) one of the most important metrics for evaluating this field. The 2021 PGA Championship Fantasy Sleeper Report Before placing any golf wagers, we consider many, many different variables, but sometimes it's the 'sleeper' factors that inform an event winner. . Hes finished runner-up two other times this season as well (Sanderson Farms, Genesis). For whatever reason, hes embraced Perry Maxwell designs during his career. Some of the best have bigger numbers than usual, and Shane McNichol has picked five of his favorites. The only common thread I can find between past winners at Southern Hills is that theyre all properly good ball-strikers. Some sleepers heading into the 2022 PGA at Southern Hills, Earlier this week, I previewed the PGA Championship focusing on three of the favorites at Southern Hills. The 2022 PGA Championship field We've categorized all golfers that matter for the PGA Championship into favorites, contenders, sleepers, long shots, those that would need a miracle to. . For a guy who has popped up routinely throughout his career, it speaks to the quality of play from Harold Varner III to say that hes been playing perhaps the best golf of his career. In order to score well at Southern Hills,. I know DJ withdrew from the AT&T Byron Nelson last Monday and hasn't been sharp recently, but I can't resist betting him at these odds, especially in his home state. Hovland comes both with a little more risk and a bit more value. Hes only made the cut in three of those 10 starts. Sleeper pick: Ill give you two! "They're just covering their ass and saying everything that the PGA Tour basically has trained them to say", "Playing the cutline is one of the toughest things in golf. Sign up for our free newsletter for fresh takes every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday*, A gay golf fan on JT's captivating play at the PGA Championship, Three notes from the ground at Southern Hills, Some major players and major problems that showed up in round 1 of the PGA, I previewed the PGA Championship focusing, A video with Gil Hanse on what the pros will confront at Southern Hills, The Restoration: Southern Hills and the future of championship golf, A PGA Primer on the traits and challenges of Southern Hills, Paulies Picks: Attributes and players to consider for the PGA, What to Know About Perry Maxwell: The life, work, and philosophy of the architect behind Southern Hills, Oklahoma and Maxwell-themed T-shirts for the 2022 PGA. PGA Championship sleepers One sleeper McClure is targeting this week at Southern Hills is Cameron Young, who is a massive 80-1 long shot at Caesars. Meanwhile, Berger ranks top-10 in SG:APR and scrambling from the rough but like Lowry, is a bit weaker than some other performers off the tee. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected . Part IV of @GOLF_com's golf gambling series! This means it will be the longest course in major championship history, as it was in 2012. This tournament has bred few surprises at the top of the leaderboard by Sunday. Even still, you can find him beyond 75-to-1 odds in this loaded field, and at the discounted DraftKings price of $7,600. Just sometimes certain shots I might feel it a little bit, but again, its rare that it causes me any problems.. Of course, that's why we are getting him at 66-1. Hes now gained 2+ strokes from tee-to-green in three consecutive events, and is only one start removed from a T14 finish in his latest elevated event appearance at the WM Phoenix Open. I dont necessarily love Homa at +5000 (FanDuels current offering) or +6600 (BetMGM), but all the way at +8000, hes worthy of a look. Don't have an account? Over the last 24 rounds, Hatton ranks third in the field in strokes gained short-game. There is a narrative brewing that around the green play will be important this week. I expect Scheffler to find himself in the final pairing come Sunday, but Spieth will be there with him. Four top fives this season, two of which have come in his past two starts. Bergers not long by Tour standards, but he is accurate, and hes a killer around the greens, which will be essential at the new-look Southern Hills with its slick, difficult-to-hit surfaces. A player with his ability and consistency should not be priced this high. This situation reminds me a little of everyone being off of Rory McIlroy before he took down the Wells Fargo. PGA Championship sleeper picks If you're looking for picks that are a bit more daring, Keegan Bradley (+6500) and Cameron Young (+8000) each have the potential to outperform expectations. He's always been in contention at the PGA Championship events and plays well at Dye courses, so I couldn't lay off of him. The other is Adam Scott, who finished T12 here in 2007 and continues to play great golf. Most people don't realize how good Berger has beenrecently and over the past year. Moneyline (ML): SE Missouri State -135 (bet $135 to win $110) | Tennessee Tech +105 (bet $100 to win $105) Against the spread: SE Missouri State -2.5 (+100) | Tennessee Tech +2.5 (-120) Champ: We just did stuff on my farm, on my property; I had nothing else to do. To have a really good day, players will need to do that and sink some puts on the greens, which may play slower than those at other majors. Previewing the 2023 Puerto Rico Open with our top picks based on the best PGA Tour odds. $1,200 in Bonus Bets. March 8, 2022 6:50 pm ET The PGA Tour is in Ponta Vedra Beach, Florida, for one of, if not the, biggest non-major of the year. Finding a mix of top-tier golfers and low-priced sleepers is the key to daily fantasy golf. He ranks second on the tour in SG:OTT and ninth in one-putt percentage. The Twitter handle is a joke. . He was originally co-favored to win the event along withScottie Scheffler (+1200)andJustin Thomas (+1200), but Rahm has emerged as the favorite this year. His victory at the Wells Fargo was his second of the season, as he took home the hardware at the season opener, the Fortinet Championship. It plays at 7,556 yards after its re-design in 2018and plays to a par of 70. Hes trending: Over his past three events, he tied for 10th at the Masters, tied for sixth at the Mexico Open, and tied for 38th at last weeks Byron Nelson. About the only thing that fans know for certain is that we won't have a repeat champion, as Phil Mickelson won't be participating in the event amid an ongoing feud with the PGA Tour. Lee must be thinking about packing up his family and moving to Dallas full time. If Southern Hills is going to be a tee to green fest, Henley has to be considered. The 2007 PGA Championship was also at Southern Hills CC, with Tiger Woods winning his 13th major. 2nd Chance Bet up to $500. This week, the course will play 300 yards longer, and its fairways much wider. Try selecting a different location. Gambling problem? (!!) https://t.co/tHKZVsPbbt. MacIntyre is a great ball striker who plays well in the wind. The biggest reason I am sprinkling on Fleetwood this week is his success on coastal- and links-style courses. He has a lot of question marks about his health and form. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. He was lurking at Bellerive in 2018 and Bethpage Black in 2019, so I don't see why he can't at Southern Hills in 2022. Sleeper pick: Davis Riley, +25,000: Riley is striping it as well as anyone in professional golf right now. However, since then, his best finish is a T-37 in 2020, so he will be looking for a bounce-back performance this year. Mandatory Credit: Andrew Wevers-USA TODAY Sports. The PGA Championship returns to Kiawah Island's Ocean Course for a second time, nine years after Rory McIlroy's dominant eight-shot victory at the famed Pete Dye design. Lastly, the RickRunGood Tournament Predictor also loves him at these odds and has him listed as the No. In terms of DFS, this has proven to be a sticky week for course history. Sleeper pick: Justin Rose, +12,500. To-win: Cameron Smith, +2,000. Im not going to overthink this. Tulsa, Okla.,plays host to a stacked field, wide open for a winner to emerge from among the favorites or from well further down the board. Tommy Fleetwood plays from the 13th tee during the first round of the Zurich Classic of New Orleans golf tournament. You arent finding any other player with four wins since 2019 being offered at odds this high. These five players jump out as possible dark-horse candidates to make waves in Tulsa this weekend. Sleeper pick: Y.E. Note:All odds are courtesy of WynnBet. The PGA Championship offers an extremely difficult task at the Ocean Course on Kiawah Island but these sleepers and dark horses could pop and win a major. Woods is set to participate in the event this year; he missed it in 2021 while recovering from injuries sustained in a Feb. 23 car crash earlier that year. Keegan Bradley in 2011, Jimmy Walker in 2016 even last year at Kiawah Island, Phil Mickelson was hardly on anyone's radar -- and if someone says otherwise, that person is likely lying. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. This weekend is shaping up to be a legendary moment in the history of golf, as 156 of the best golfers in the world compete at the legendary Old Course at St Andrew's. For now, well assume equal playing conditions for the full field when determining top value plays until more information becomes available on tee times and Thursday/Friday weather reports. The SportsLine model is engineered by the same people who powered projections for all three major Fantasy sites. Below, we search for value in the odds and target five sleepers and long-shot picks to win the 2021 PGA Championship. No, hes not hurt. With the wind, Southern Hills should play difficult. Why not ride the wave early and catch Young while hes still a longshot and not offered as one of the favorites at an event like this? You can too! DISCLAIMER: This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting. Justly so, as he's playing terrific golf, finishing third in each of his past two events. Check out McNichol's five favorite longshot bets this week below. No more. Thomas ranks top-five in SG:OTT, top 10 in scrambling from the rough and is the best one-putter on the PGA Tour with a one-putt percentage of just under 46. His highest finish was a T-4 in 2018. Even though it's located in South Carolina, the Ocean Course plays similar to a European-style links course. He missed the cut at The Byron Nelson at high ownership. The PGA Championship tees off Thursday in Tulsa, so let's put together a winning DFS strategy. To-win: Scottie Scheffler, +1,100. His approach game is the weakest part of his arsenal, but he still ranks 27th in SG:APR, so he has the tools needed to challenge for his second win at the major. No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000. Over the last three months, Woodland ranks inside the top 20 of this PGA Championship field in strokes gained tee to green, strokes gained approach and strokes gained around the green. shot lead in the second round of the PGA Tour's Arnold Palmer Invitational on Friday.The Spaniard had taken a two-shot lead on Thursday with a seven-under-par 65 . As we make our way further down the board to find a mega-longshot, lets throw that idea directly out the window. At The Players Championship, the understood tee time advantage did not play out and fantasy players who stacked the opposite wave made a lot of money. When it comes to the weather, it's supposed to be gusty this week, so that will be something to keep an eye on. Tiger Woods Made Jordan Spieth Feel Bad About Missing Masters Cut, Most PGA Championship wins in golf history, Tiger, Rory, and Spieth form all-star group at the PGA Championship, Scottie Schefflers post-Masters celebration was all-time white New Balance dad energy. Without any further delay, lets get to our Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, with afocus on longshots and sleepersfor your DFS lineups. 13 in the Power Rankings for The Honda Classic, he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. Touts are lame. your golf bets? McNealy has only missed the cut once since last years PGA Championship! Bezuidenhout is another player who excels in windy conditions. Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Harry Higgs has not had anywhere close to the success that Max Homa has found on TOUR, especially this year. However, it could lead to a similar situation to The Players Championship. Who will win the PGA Championship, and which long shots will stun the golfing world? Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. However, Taylor Pendrith is a much more talented player than the gaudy odds would suggest. Sleeper pick: Cameron Champ, +10,000. His PGA TOUR Horse for the Course for daily fantasy golf based on course history. Gooch has the game to contend this week and certainly offers value at a number this high. Rory McIlroy 8. Id be shocked if Scheffler isnt in the mix on Sunday afternoon. I went back and forth here with fellow Englishman Paul Casey, but I settled on Hatton for a few reasons.