An Emerson poll conducted shortly before Election Day was completely off, showing Trump and Biden neck-to-neck. Edie Martin is struggling to get her diner back in the black after being closed for almost three months over the pandemic. To accept cookies, click continue. Guests are invited to enjoy live music from The BanDura BanDuo, featuring Angelika and Justin Mehes, a brother-sister musical act, visit the Cheremosh Ukrainian Dance Ensemble's costume display featuring traditional Ukrainian folk dance costumes, and connect with the . I just dont think hes capable of doing the job that its going to require of him.. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. Epoch Times: "Bellwether Counties Went Overwhelmingly for Trump in 2020" Find UFOs, The Apocalypse, New World Order, Political Analysis, Alternative Health, Armageddon, Conspiracies, Prophecies, Spirituality, Home Schooling, Home Mortgages and more, in: Rumor Mill News Reading Room, Current Archive High scoring bellwether counties in these regions tend to border other high-scoring counties, unlike their counterparts in the South and West, which tend to see high scoring bellwethers somewhat isolated from each other. In 2020, all but one of the bellwethers picked President Donald Trump by a margin of some 16 points on average. The morale of the people up there is bad. 2020: Trump - 59.1%, Biden - 38.5. He thinks the current criminal justice system imprisons too many people. The county, which includes spring and summer destinations such as Kelleys Island, Marblehead, and Put-in-Bay, currently is in hibernation. The county is more white than the rest of the nationabout, nationally, according to census data. Visual inspection suggests that, like other counties, they voted in 2020 roughly as they did in 2016; given this (and given that many of these counties went solidly for Trump in 2016), it is unsurprising that Biden won only one of them. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Unbridled Evil: The Corrupt Reign of Jiang Zemin in China. Were not going to be able to afford this Democratic regime. I believe in a time cycle. Bellwether Counties Went Overwhelmingly for Trump in 2020 Teresa Shepherd, resident of the Indiana bellwether county of Vigo, in front of her daughter's house in Seelyville, Ind., on Oct. 20,. Bellwethers must make correct predictions regardless of which party wins election, but polarization makes it increasingly likely that counties will split into ones that vote regularly for a Republican or for a Democratic presidential nominee. Median household incomes range from $65,000 in Bremer County, Iowa, to $32,000 in Hidalgo County, New Mexico. In 2020, amid widespread accusations of Democrat cheating, these bellwethers were not even close checking in at a mind-blowing 6%! March 3, 2023 Updated: March 3, 2023. Competing for the Democratic nomination are John Cranley and former Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley. Paul, a 51-year-old resident in Seelyvillejust east of Terre Hautewho also didnt disclose his last name, wont vote either. The state as a whole is going more Republican, Wood County Board of Elections Director Julie Baumgardner told The Epoch Times. Just off Interstate 75 at the Pemberville/Bowling Green exit, is Frickers, a popular eatery and gathering place for people of all ages, whereChris Chamberlin ofBowling Green works as the restaurants manager. By registering for the newsletter, you agree to the, New Crew From US, Russia, and UAE Arrives at Space Station, LIVE NOW: Biden Awards Medal of Honor to Retired Army Col. Paris Davis, We Have to Pay Our Sins: Lawmakers Must Negotiate Way Out of US Debt Crisis: Sen. Manchin, Suspect Charged After Chicago Officer Dies After Shootout, Nevada Approves $330 Million in Tesla Tax Abatements Over Gigafactory Expansion. Now, its the situation with Russias invasion of Ukraine and how that might affect the world and its economies. The Democrats who are vying for that partys nomination are Morgan Harper, Traci Johnson, and Tim Ryan, who has been serving in Congress for the past 2o years, or 10 consecutive terms. Jim was awarded the Reed Irvine Accuracy in . At 6:30 pm we kick off an evening that showcases and celebrates Ukrainian arts and culture. All the negativity, and just pure anger for this one person in office I have never seen it before. As part of The Epoch Times Association, Inc., a nonprofit organization we stand outside of political interests and the pursuit of profit, to educate readers about today's most critical issues . I kind of keep in my bubble. When gas went up that time, our sales went down to zero, Zulch said. Westmoreland is the only one in the South; Clallam is the only county on the West Coast, and Hidalgo and Valencia are the only counties in the Mountain West. Martin plans to turn up at the polling booth on Election Day. We and the rest of the states boards of elections have been directed by the Ohio Secretary of States Office to hold the election on May 3. Richard Zulch, an Army veteran who served in Vietnam as a combat engineer from 1969 through 1971 and is the quartermaster for Veterans of Foreign Wars Post 4811 in Bowling Green, said he has been able to see the political landscape from both sides of the fence. First, we can readily imagine that some counties demographically/politically mirror the nation, and thus monitoring this small set of counties closely would tell us with high predictive reliability what will happen nationally. In 2016, nearly 100 million eligible Americans didnt vote. Soon, he lost his union membership because he had no money to pay the dues. And we just want that to continue. Many counties in states that have reliably voted for one party for many cycles are home to counties which have almost always voted for the winner of the election; for example, South Carolina has two strong bellwether counties despite being a reliably Republican state, and California has a number of strong bellwethers in its central valley despite being a reliably Democratic state.. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. She said she almost never votes, but this year decided to vote for President Donald Trump. Where there used to be eight auto plants in Wayne County now there is only one, the GMC Truck plant, he said. Ottawa County along Lake Erie in northwest Ohio had one of the nation's longest streaks of supporting the presidential candidate who won the White House. I hope.. . Theres too much corruption. Moreover, once we allow for bellwethers to have less than perfect records of success, the expected numbers of bellwethers increases much more rapidly than most (including us) would expect. What Should Fiscal and Social Policy in a Sustainable Economy Look Like? Ever since COVID started, it hasnt gotten any better.. Plastic cups and straws also have been hard to come by because they require natural gas in their manufacturing process. January 5, 2021: Rep. Jordan attacks "liberal judges" and state officials for their role in the election. Getting fertilizer can be a challenge.. Jim Hoft is the founder and editor of The Gateway Pundit, one of the top conservative news outlets in America. The Wall Street Journal and The Epoch Times independently analyzed the results of 19 counties around the United States that have nearly perfect presidential voting records over the last 40 years. With all the inflation, its challenging, and can be tricky to run a business, Miller, 58, said. The economy and good-paying jobs always have been an issue up here.. Missouri fits this definition, as do six counties that have matched the national vote. Required fields are marked *. People need to get a job, get out and work. He likes that Trump upholds law and order amid the social unrest. Recently, the company needed to find a part for one of its trucks, and it actually located the only part available in the United States and was able to get it. Her husband, a groundskeeper at an Army Reserve base, comes from a strongly Democratic family. Overall, the county is in good shape, and has a lot going for it.. Miller cited seeing some retail and light industrial development around the county in recent yearsa Bass Pro Shops store in Bowling Green, a 1 million-square-foot expansion for First Solar in Perrysburg in 2018, and downtown revitalization in Bowling Green. The bellwethers ability to predict the winner has been attributed to a large swath of voters willing to switch party preference from one election to the next. Trump is a person who just couldnt accept defeat, Ellithorpe said. Petr Svab is a reporter covering New York. Our roads need to be fixed. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. Tisdell wanted to find out for himself, so he began to do his own research, reading mainstream news on both sides, as well as reports by independent citizen journalists. Logistics are a nightmare, Miller said. Here's why. And to force somebody to do it, it just makes even less sense, because this country is supposed to be free.. HOW THE SPECTER OF COMMUNISM IS RULING OUR WORLD. Weve never done that before.. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Meanwhile, Miller and Zulch voiced their support for restarting the Keystone XL pipeline to help the United States return to energy independence and provide oil to European countries experiencing gas shortages and high prices. Here, a farming operation is pictured in Bowling Green, Ohio in Wood County, a bellwether county in America's Heartland experiencing problems such as inflation and high gas prices, affecting every day life. I think we needed somebody like him.. There is another bellwether list of 58 counties that has correctly picked each president since 2000; Trump won 51 of them by an average margin of nearly 15 points. The county is more white than the rest of the nationabout 87 percent, compared to 76 percent nationally, according to census data. Rural white America is principally Trump, and they are ripe for conspiracy theories. In the southern area just off Interstate 75 sits Bowling Green, the county seat and home of Bowling Green State University and Doyt L. Perry Stadium, where the Falcons draw large crowds in the Mid-American Conference. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. Theyre scared. Please read our comments policy before commenting. Longtime Rep. Marcy Kaptur, a Democrat who has been in Congress since 1983, is running for reelection; Teresa Gavarone and J.R. Majewski are competing in the GOP primary. And yet, the belief in bellwether states or counties as predictors of US presidential elections is a phoenix that is constantly being reborn. Once the two 2016 presidential candidates were locked in, she knew she couldnt vote for Clinton, while Trumps promise to drain the swamp piqued her interest. Wood (population 132,248), and Ottawa, are known as bellwether counties for picking the presidential candidate who wins the White Housebut it is uncertain whether Wood County can maintain. This includes personalizing content and advertising. TRENDING: Meet Samuel Armes - Groomed by the CIA and FBI and Author of the Original "1776 Returns" FED-SURRECTION Document - That He . He likes how the Democratic Party helps lower-income people. Bellwethers arent a crystal balltheir streak was expected to end sooner or later. The researchers also mapped all American counties (over 3,000) by their bellwether scorethat is their record of voting for the overall winner in each of the previous 10 presidential electionsgiving progressively larger weight to more recent elections. Ottawa County is on the doorstep of a Democratic stronghold, about 35 miles east of Toledo in neighboring Wood County. The 19 bellwethers tend to be poorer, whiter, older, and less educated than the rest of the country, according to an August paper by researchers from the University of Denver and the University of New Hampshire. But according to the. Armagost was lucky during the shutdowns, as bike shop repairs and maintenance were considered essential and he remained in business. Theyve been dubbed bellwether counties and until this year, no president since at least Ronald Reagan has missed even one. She also said that many people who come into the pub are outspoken about the current state of affairs in the United States, especially on Saturdays when the crowds are larger. He said Vigo County is fairly evenly divided between those who identify as Republicans and those who identify as Democrats. The City Center festival continued with Kyiv City Ballet, a Christopher Wheeldon duet and a daring work for Dayton Contemporary Dance Company. It doesnt matter whether you are a Republican or a Democrat, youre going to get a crook. Shepherd said being able to bear arms is of particular importance now and she fears Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden would restrict that right. Peoples common sense level is cooked. No one who spoke to The Epoch Times had anything positive to say about Wolfs continued shutdowns in the state. Bellwether County Portends a Red Pennsylvania in 2020 Election Carol Jacobs in Ridgway, Elk County, Penn., on Sept. 17, 2020. Like all-or nothing bellwethers, counties that closely tracked the election for 12 consecutive elections failed to continue that form for a 13th time. If that date were to change, the Ohio legislature is the only one who can request to postpone or change the date of an election through legislative action.. Hamilton sees value in both parties, he said, but he considers himself Democratic-leaning. Those who believe that Donald Trump won the 2020 presidential election have held up his victories in many bellwether counties as evidence of electoral fraud. Growth in recent years has been a challenge, if not nonexistent, he said. Workforce shortages are mostly everywhere, he said. Farming also is a big part of Wood County's make up in northwest Ohio. We have loads that sometimes dont cover the fuel costs., During the COVID pandemic, nobody was on the roads. I just want Trump in. A diverse group of residents, many were surprised to wake up the morning of Nov. 4, 2020, to see that Joe Biden overtook Trumps leads in numerous battleground states from the night beforesuch as in Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Nothing is free, Hawker said. They also found that high-scoring counties exhibit a geographic trend. I am under that impression. As far as Wood County being a bellwether county, we do have a mixed group of people here. Bellwether Counties Went Overwhelmingly for Trump in 2020. Yet unofficial vote counts now show Biden in the lead and with enough electoral votes to claim the presidency. In Terre Haute, 52-year-old Scott Hamilton said the main issue for him in this election is how divided the nation is; he said Trump is mostly to blame. Wolf has allowed for the counting of ballots to continue for three days after Nov. 3, meaning its unlikely that a winner will be called in Pennsylvania for at least a week after the election. She said her husband will vote for Trump, too. This is a high farming community.. The median household annual income is approximately $20,000 less in the county than it is nationally. SACRAMENTO . Fourth, it lists whether they won Florida, Ohio and Iowa . Because of supply chain issues, its also difficult to find parts, Miller said. It swung from Barack Obama in 2012 to Donald Trump in 2016, and political science professor Matthew Bergbower says its something akin to a purple county.. They can try all they can to prevent whatever they want to prevent, but nature is going to run its course, no matter what, Tisdell said. Were going to shift from a materialistic world to a more conscious and spiritual world, he said. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. The researchers also mapped all U.S. counties (over 3,000) by their bellwether scoretheir record of voting for the overall winner in each of the previous 10 presidential electionsgiving progressively larger weight to more recent elections. January 4, 2021: Rep. Jordan tweets an Epoch Times article about his effort to challenge Electoral College votes. Unfortunately, however, neither of the reasons for why we might think that previous bellwethers will continue to be bellwethers is valid. The 19 bellwethers tend to be poorer, whiter, older, and less educated than the rest of the country, according to an August paper by researchers from the University of Denver and University of New Hampshire. The counties are also mostly small and rural. I mean the whole world ought to be mad at China, we should all be going to war against them. Your email address will not be published. And the media is just taking it overboard., Shepherd said of Trump: I do know that he is not a selfish person. Ottawa County is also the home to the Marblehead lighthouse (the oldest lighthouse in continuous operation on the Great Lakes), Africa Wildlife Safari, and its county seat of Port Clinton is known as the Walleye Capital of the World. The bellwether scores map highlights the fact that many states have a good bellwether county or two, even if they did not make the list of the nineteen counties which have always voted for the winning candidate, they said. Titchner, a Vietnam veteran, has been painting houses for 45 years and said he votes based on the candidate, rather than the party. Our infrastructure is in bad shape.. Also, spare a thought for Webster County in Georgia. Its home to four universities, filled with many Democratic-leaning students. While these are the top bellwether counties, there are many more that are considered to be predictive. . After the 46-state landslide, James Farley, Roosevelts campaign manager, revised the theory: As goes Maine, so goes Vermont.. Im looking at both sides of it. And the thing is, when they have these laws now that they arent enforcing, what good is another law going to be? I think he is more for giving to the people.. With respect to the notion that bellwethers are demographically representative, this appears not to true. For Tisdell, the two major issues that weigh on his mind this year are the riots and the pandemic. Seasonal businesses such as ferries, dairy docks, ice cream stands, Cheesehaven, and fudge factories, are closed. As a father, I would be curious about what my kids are doing.. Four City Technologies makes the lock-tight coatings on the threads of the components. It bisects six counties Hillsborough, Polk, Osceola, Orange, Seminole and Volusia but is far bigger than the . Sawyer County, Wisconsin, and Clallam County, Washington, have substantial Native American populations, the authors said. Right now, its horrible. The updated report showed that Biden won 509 counties, while Trump won 2,547 counties. But Myers doesnt think Biden is respectful to Trump either. In an October 7, 2020, essay in the New York Times, David Wasserman looked to ten allegedly bellwether counties for evidence that Donald Trump is in serious trouble. We have to figure out a way to control fuel prices. Many counties in states that have reliably voted for one party for many cycles are home to counties which have almost always voted for the winner of the election; for example, South Carolina has two strong bellwether counties despite being a reliably Republican state, and California has a number of strong bellwethers in its central valley despite being a reliably Democratic state.. Why are you trying so hard to get this one guy out of office? he said of the disproven Russian collusion accusations and the presidents impeachment. Median household incomes range from $65,000 in Bremer County, Iowa, to $32,000 in Hidalgo County in New Mexico. Thus it would appear that bellwether. And this years election is unlike any other, in which mail-in voting has become the norm, injecting an air of uncertainty into a year already full of upheaval. The United States needs to get back to where were responsible, energy independent, and get away from the thought process of these liberal socialists in office., Government is out of control, he added. He isnt happy that Biden called Trump names during the first debate. Michael Sakal is a former reporter for The Epoch Times. He says hes going to vote for the lesser of two evils.. Were a service industry-oriented area. The sentiments of those arriving at or leaving the Kroger grocery down the street in Port Clinton echoed those at the gas station. Though Myers leans toward Trump, he hasnt made up his mind to vote for him yet; he didnt vote for Trump in 2016. Theres too much mishandling, she said. Because the man made a lot of promises in 2016, and I think that he stood up and he kept every one of those promises that he could possibly keep, said Ron Fannin, 69, the local courthouse supervisor. Third, it lists the fraction of bellwether counties each candidate won Obama at 18 of 19, Trump at 18 of 19 and Biden at one of 19. Perhaps that is why they are a true bellwether county, not fully committing to one political party over the other. Vigo County voters supported Trump by a 15 percent margin in 2016. Hamilton had already cast his vote for Biden on the first day of early voting. State residents are awaiting a ruling from the Ohio Supreme Court about whether it will approve the newly proposed congressional map that the Ohio Redistricting Commission submitted to the high court earlier this month. In 2016, Pennsylvania itself was wrenched out of its 24-year run as a Democratic sure bet when Donald Trump cleared just over 44,000 more votes than Hillary Clinton and took the states prized 20 electoral votes. We use cookies on this site to understand how you use our content, and to give you the best browsing experience. Hawker told The Epoch Times he voted for Trump in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, and if he wouldve been re-elected, the country wouldnt be facing the problems they are having now. Nothing has changed regarding the date of the May 3 primary election, Baumgardner said. Given the global context of Russias invasion of Ukraine, they believe higher gas prices and inflation is coming, and theyre not happy about it. Fannin plans to vote in person and is pretty sure Trump will win a second term, but hes concerned about the integrity of the mail-in ballots. Jason Armagost of Mudbeards Bikes and Boards has chosen to stay out of politics and doesnt vote. But not only are bellwethers not really predictors of future success, the likelihood of finding long streaks of prior predictive success has gone down. She shook her head at the high price of gas. Whats happening is affecting everybody, he said. For the first time in as long as she can remember, since becoming a registered voter 35 years ago, all three county commissioners are Republicans. Racine County, WI might be the single best bellwether: if it called all the elections with missing data elections correctly, it would have 86% correct. Our model also links this decline to increases in polarization. Former President Trump and his supporters continue to loudly assert that he really won the 2020 election even though all the alleged direct evidence of fraud has not passed the sniff test of local courts, including those with Republican judges. RIDGWAY, Pa.Tucked into a wooded valley in north-central Pennsylvania is the bellwether borough of Ridgway, the county seat of Elk County. There are 22 counties in the US that managed to vote for the winning party in every single election from 1988 to 2016. Those dollars wont be there, because people will be buying gas. Its going to affect trucking, farming, everything. Robert Ellithorpe, an 84-year-old great grandfather, and Navy aviation veteran said he believed the 2020 presidential election was legitimate and Biden received 80 million votes. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. America's most accurate bellwether counties, regions that have a reputation for accurately picking the president, got the presidential election completely wrong. Both Jacobs and her husband switched to Republican and Ive never looked back, she said. The county, located along the Illinois border, has a mix of rural and urban demographics. Two states have announced recounts. Westmoreland is the only one of the counties in the South, Clallam is the only one on the West Coast, and Hidalgo and Valencia are the only counties in the Mountain West. He voted for Trump in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections and said hed vote for him again if he were the Republican nominee. It was easy. The northern portion of the county, in towns such as Rossford and Northwood, is the blue-collar and working-class crowd and Perrysburg is home to upscale housing developments. She can be reached at cara.ding@epochtimes.com, Biden Extends National Emergency Due to Extraordinary Threat of Russian Actions in Ukraine, Suburban Wisconsin Voters Divided on Presidential Race. Since picking the winning candidate in Democrat Lyndon Baines Johnson in 1964, it has deviated from the winner only twice. (Charlotte Cuthbertson/The Epoch Times). Eleven of the 19 were located in just six Midwestern states, and Wisconsin alone is home to four, they said. Logistically, its a disaster. He says hell vote for Trump. Residents who were asked about any candidate choices tended to be true to their reputation as a bellwether county, with more of a wait-and-see type of attitude of seeing whos going to step up as a presidential candidate in 2024. They were particularly representative in 2012, when the average 1980-to-2016 bellwether county was just 0.8 points more Democratic than the nation. But what would be striking is for it to end so radically. Longtime Bowling Green resident Doug Miller, a conservative and Donald Trump supporter who works as a chief operating officer for a heavy-duty trucking company in nearby Fremont, said the company, which was heavily affected during the pandemic, is still navigating challenges. Nestled along Lake Erie in the northwest of. 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